99 Red Balloons

Hnau

Banned
99 Red Balloons

red_balloon_by_snnr.jpg

Ninety-nine dreams I have had
Every one a red balloon
Now it's all over and I'm standin' pretty
In this dust that was a city

If I could find a souvenir
Just to prove the world was here
And here is a red balloon
I think of you and let it go...


- 99 Red Balloons by Nena (Lied's World)

"What has been so obvious for so long, but so rarely stated outside of private conversation is that our two worlds have a surprising symmetry concerning our divergent histories. The first half of our 20th century was a continuous disaster for humanity and in the latter half we struggled to fix those mistakes. We finally overcame them, but now it seems that though we've had many victories in spreading liberal democracy around the world, we face greater storm-clouds ahead. In comparison, the last century for our sister world, Pershing's World, began with events that produced euphoric optimism. Almost all of the terrible occurrences that still plague our cultural memories were avoided in our neighboring timeline. Despite how wonderful it could have all been, despite all of their hopes, in the latter half of its 20th century Pershing's World was was where the worst tragedies witnessed by human civilization on two parallel universes took place. Yet, while we prepare for imminent conflicts, what's left of Pershing's World has blossomed and no one on either side of the Bridge has reason to believe that its marvelous reconstruction will falter. It is very possible that study of this unexpected and improbable symmetry between our two worlds could help us all in mankind's quest to find long-lasting peace, prosperity and well-being..."

- Dr. Christian Lied, 2011 San Francisco Interworlds Conference (Lied's World)

--
NOTE: This isn't ASB. This thread and this timeline isn't about the few ASB elements that occur in the background (crosstime interaction), it's about the actual history of this parallel universe. What ASB elements exist are used simply for a narrative device.
 
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Hnau

Banned
Balloon #1

Section Two: The Lack of a Spanish-American Confrontation

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The USS Maine enters the Havana harbor unharmed, 1898

In the previous chapter we established that in Dr. Pershing’s World the first subtle historical differences compared to ours began in the early 1890s in Central Russia. It is interesting to note however that the first great historical change in the other timeline occurred off the coast of Cuba, in the western hemisphere. The USS Maine of the United States Navy never became famous in our sister timeline, the few paper reports and photos our commission could find show that it was sent to Havana in 1898 to protect American interests in Cuba during the War of 1895. The battleship had its intended effect on preventing atrocities against American citizens in Havana and sending a firm message to the Spanish government in Madrid, but there would be no explosion or loss of the life of those in the ship as in our timeline. In late February the American President McKinley continued his aggressive posturing by ordering the North Atlantic Squadron to the Gulf of Mexico and other ships to just off the coast of Lisbon and Hong Kong. Fearing war with the United States of America, the Cuban colonial government took two steps that had been demanded by President William McKinley: it ended forced relocation from homes and offered negotiations with the independence fighters. The truce was rejected by the rebels and the war continued. The American press joined American businesses in support for the revolutionaries’ cause, but no conflict would emerge. Meanwhile the rebels were becoming quickly exhausted of funds, weapons, and men. In August 1899 the independence movement’s leaders accepted the offer to negotiate with several specific conditions. That the USA would mediate a peace treaty was one of them. President McKinley gladly accepted the role as peacemaker and negotiated the Treaty of Washington in the year 1900 which ceded to Cuba and Puerto Rico complete self-autonomy. Outside of a naval base in Guantanamo Bay, Spanish jurisdiction over defense and foreign relations and nominal membership of the Spanish Empire, the Cubans and Puerto Ricans are granted the right to control their own domestic affairs.

Though affairs in the Caribbean basin pacified and normalcy returned to the region, the absence of a Spanish-American War in the history of Dr. Pershing’s World would shift the course of history for many nations. Cuba, the Philippines, Puerto Rico, Spain and the United States of America quickly diverged from their historical tracks in our own timeline. The Cuban independence movement would resurge in the decade of the Great War and eventually the island would acquire full independence, but would do it without the assistance of a foreign power. After the end of the War of 1895, the Spanish government quickly shifted its military forces and funds towards the Philippines in hopes that it could directly manage at least its Pacific colonies. Filipino revolutionaries would submit to a Cuban-style peace treaty in 1904 which established Filipino jurisdiction over their domestic affairs and nothing else. Spain avoided losing its colonies and maintained its importance as an imperial power, but at an enormous cost which left the country bankrupt. In the United States, although it was not completely or directly responsible, it is possible that the lack of an African-American military performance at this crucial period of American history put the African-American civil rights movement years behind compared to our own timeline. The nonexistence of black participation in a military adventure with their white countrymen could have nudged the other United States of America in the direction of the future failures in race relations that awaited it.
 
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Hnau

Banned
You're right, 1902 was a typo. What I wanted to type was 1903. ;) I had thought that maybe putting up the German lyrics was a better idea but the best translation I could get just looked odd in the actual post.
 

Hnau

Banned
Balloon #2

Section Three: The Presidential Succession Crisis of 1902 and the Election of William Jennings Bryan

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President William McKinley's Funeral Service, 1901

In the Two Worlds it is the history of the United States of America that diverges the most rapidly from one another. Such a radical distortion of national history would not happen again in Pershing's World for another fifteen years with the succession of events that led to the creation of the Federation of People’s Republics in the territory of the fallen Russian Empire. Why is it that the histories of these two countries, that would become superpowers in both worlds, were so rapidly distorted while other countries would take decades to see real difference within their territories? A theory that has been accepted by most in the allohistorical community is that these two countries, in the early 1900s, were in a state of flux and change, where the decisions of a few key individuals and the occurrence of a few distinct events could have an enormous influence on the future. With small unimportant changes percolating throughout the entire world by 1897, it is theoretically impossible that one such important historical figure wouldn’t be affected in some way within a few years. This is true for Theodore Roosevelt and Vladimir Ilyich Lenin, the first of which began a radically different life in the other world due to the lack of his experience in Cuba and the second of which would die from tuberculosis in the year 1900.

Theodore Roosevelt was working in the United States Department of the Navy as Assistant Secretary in the year 1898 when the Spanish-American War failed to begin. In our sister timeline he did not suddenly rise as a national hero. He continued in his position as Assistant Secretary of the Navy for four more years than he did in our timeline until finally becoming Secretary of the Navy in 1902.

With Roosevelt in the Naval Department, President McKinley had no easy answer to who would replace the late Vice President Garret Hobart who died from heart failure in 1899 (in both timelines). As in our world, he favored the selection of the “father of the Senate” William B. Allison but the Senator declined. Joseph G. Cannon was eventually chosen as a trustworthy representative of the “Old Guard” Republicans, a good man to complete the ticket. What President McKinley did not know was that he had chosen his presidential successor.

Leon Frank Czolgosz had in both timelines a similar life. He was an unemployed Polish-American factory worker who became obsessed with the anarchist movement in the late 1890s. Already a distraught individual, having been bullied throughout his childhood and constantly at odds with his family, he decided to assassinate President McKinley after reading of the successful assassination of King Umberto I of Italy by fellow anarchist Gaetano Bresci. In September of 1901, having bought a revolver, he moved to Washington D.C., renting a room in a low-class apartment. He began stalking President McKinley, attending every public event he could and learning his weekly routine. Finally, on October 11, Leon approached the President on the street as he was entering a carriage and shot him point blank four times. [1] President William McKinley would not live to see the next day. As in our timeline, Leon Czolgosz was eventually tried and executed to the dismay of the anarchist community. Unlike in our world, in Pershing’s World Joseph G. Cannon was the man that succeeded to the presidency.

“Uncle Joe” Cannon’s presidency was eventful, but short-lived. As in our home timeline, Booker T. Washington, the most important black leader of the era, became the first African American to be invited to dinner on November 6, 1901 at the White House. There he discussed politics and racism with President Cannon. White outcry especially in the Southern states was very strong. In an interview six days later Cannon refused to ameliorate the situation and pugnaciously threatened his naysayers. He is quoted as having said: “Being invested by the Constitution of this great nation with all Presidential powers and responsibilities, I promise to do all I can to obstruct those that would rather return to those oppressive institutions that have been removed through four years of fraternal bloodshed. We, as a people, have already won that battle, and whoever wants to return to it I shall consider an enemy of the state. The time has come for a leader to right the wrongs that have been wrought in many states of the Union to deny the Negro his rights and freedoms that were attained for him a generation ago.” This caused further outrage in the South to the point that three federal buildings were bombed in Alabama and South Carolina.

On December 5, President Joseph Cannon delivered a 15,000-word address to Congress asking its assistance in curbing African-American segregation and disfranchisement that was sweeping the South. Cannon had found a crusade and the newspapers lambasted him and his efforts continuously. Hostility grew quickly in the South during the winter months. On January 12 a protest march on the United States Capitol in Washington D.C. was organized by Southern right’s activists, mimicking the march by Coxey’s Army in 1894. Nearly 8,000 supporters showed up for the event and attracted national attention. The Cannon administration, unwilling to back down, organized a press conference on the 14th of January where President Cannon denied that he would change his position on the racial civil rights issues. After speaking for twenty minutes, young Alabaman reporter Timothy Scott pulled out a gun that he had carefully concealed in a briefcase and fired two shots before he was detained. One of the bullets struck the newest American President on the side of his the face. President Joseph G. Cannon succumbed to his wounds two days later. Timothy Scott would follow the path of Leon Czolgosz to execution by electric chair. [2]

After two assassinations in the last four months, the United States of America was left in complete shock. This would be come to be known as the Succession Crisis of 1902 [3]. In this dire time, it was not to be left without at least a temporary leader. On January 17th, twelve hours after the death of Joseph G. Cannon, the current Secretary of State John Hay took the oath of office and was sworn in to the office of President. Hay began his presidency with a bout of intense melancholy brought on by the deaths of four close friends of his in the last four months: William McKinley, John Nicolay, Clarence King, and now Joseph Cannon. He would report: “I wonder how much grief I can endure. It seems to me that I am full to the brim. Yet I feel no disgust of life itself, only regret that so little is left and so narrow a field of work remaining.”

Nearly immediately talk had begun of calling a special presidential election that November. While the 1886 Presidential Succession Act put to bed the calling of a special election in the event that both President and Vice President are unable to fulfill a term, many questioned why an unelected official like John Hay should be placed at the head of the country for the next three years. In February, newspaper magnate William Randolph Hearst began a campaign for a 1902 presidential election and called John Hay’s presidency “Undemocratic and Un-American” while nevertheless praising him for his ability as Secretary of State. President Hay had no intention to fight for his newfound position; indeed he had expressed his intention to leave politics since the year 1900. Later on he would actively support the idea of leaving the presidency to another if such an action was made legal in Congress. Senator Mark Hanna had emerged as the front-running leader of the Republican Party and though no enemy of Hay he desired a better man at the helm of the country, say, himself. It was a poor move to make in hindsight. The Republican-dominated Congress was able to pass in the spring months a 1902 Presidential Succession Act that re-established the special presidential election that had been removed from the 1886 act. A presidential election was to be held in November of that year and as such shift the presidential election cycle by two years.

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William Jennings Bryan Campaigning for the Presidency, 1902

In June the Republicans convened in Chicago and Senator Mark Hanna was quickly nominated as the party's candidate. While he would have appreciated the nomination of Charles W. Fairbanks for vice-president, Hanna accepted Robert R. Hitt as Vice President on the ticket to appease the radical wing of the party. In July the Democratic Party met in St. Louis and despite challenges from Grover Cleveland and Alton B. Parker, William Jennings Bryan managed to secure candidacy for the third time in a row. His opposition, the “reorganizers” as they called themselves, was in the planning stages of pushing for an alternative candidate who would better represent the party as a whole and the calling of a special election caught them off guard. Though Bryan was somewhat reluctant to run again after so little time to change the national mood and knowing that if he lost a third election he could never run again, he saw the turn of events as being divinely orchestrate and took his God-given opportunity [3]. There was little question that Hengry G. Davis of West Virginia would accompany him on the ticket in order to secure the West Virginian vote.

The campaigning of the 1902 election was the oddest that had been organized for decades due to the rushed nature of the occasion. Southern agitation was still high: since the assassination of Cannon, the trial of young Timothy Scott received national attention and something of a media war was being waged between the different regions of the United States. Everyone wanted a scapegoat for the terrible events that had caused the Succession Crisis; the South and racism was an easy target for Northern newspapers, while in the South commentators blamed Northern radical progressives and government centralism for creating the tensions that caused Scott to kill President Cannon. The nation had not faced such a division since the years following the Civil War and the bombing of several post offices in the Deep South generated fear across the country that it was heading towards another conflict. State’s rights became a very important issue everywhere, especially in the South. Bryan was the first to name himself champion and defender of Jeffersonian ideals. Hanna came in second and despite many speeches he was unable to secure the confidence of voters that he was the “State’s Rights candidate”. Even in the East and in the West, where state’s rights weren’t the predominant issue at hand, there was much attention given towards which candidate would better hold the country together. Rich industrialists and business magnates sided once again with the Republics, but only a few months to campaign, the financial advantage wasn’t as important as in earlier elections. Bryan used the campaign slogan “Let the People Rule”, very similar to his 1908 campaign slogan in our own world and his platform was a reprise from 1896 and 1900 though with more emphasis given towards strict constitutionalism, state’s rights and cutting government budgets than towards free silver. Hanna’s campaign was based on the slogan of “Continuing the Legacy of McKinley” and stressed opposition to the administrative style of Cannon.

On the morning after the election in November, although the returns were not all in, the Democratic Party began to realize that a miracle had been wrought. It was exactly what they had desired from William Jennings Bryan since he had taken control of the party six years ago. It is important to note that in Pershing’s World, the 1900 election had been much more close and the Democrats had managed to carry Delaware, Maryland, Nebraska and Utah which they hadn’t in the equivalent election in our timeline [4]. This explains why it was comparatively easier for Bryan to make a comeback than in the 1908 presidential election in our world. In 1902 the Democrats won all of these states and in addition were able to take the electoral votes of Indiana, Kansas, Ohio, Oregon, South Dakota, Washington, West Virginia, and Wyoming. Indiana, Ohio and Oregon were surprise victories for the Democratic Party as each had been won with less than 10,000 votes. William Jennings Bryan was to be the 28th President of the United States of America beginning on March 4, 1903. Everyone in the Union, the common man, the industrialists and business magnates, Southerners and Northerners, the labor unions and the farmers could sense that a new era was to begin in American history. Bryan had been such a controversial figure who had promised a complete restructuring of society, he had held principles and ideas so utopian in character that perhaps not even the Founding Fathers could have rivaled him. In contrast to the great compromising politicians of the century, Bryan was a man whose principles could never be so diluted, and his determined optimism was about to infect an entire nation for good or for worse.

---

[1] In Pershing's World the Pan-American Exposition was not delayed due to the Spanish-American War and was held in 1899 at Cayuga Island with much less spectacle compared to our timeline. As such, Czolgosz had to find a different time and location for his plans.

[2] Full credit goes to the poster Abe Lincoln for this idea which he wrote here.

[3] This factor in motivating Bryan to run again in 1902 would never be publicly acknowledged until the 1920s. For years he did not dare mention that the killings of McKinley and Cannon, men he deeply respected, were caused by the intention of God.

[4] A much closer presidential race due, once again, to the lack of the Spanish-American War which made McKinley look like the stronger candidate. Here the public was still very happy with McKinley's administration but not to the degree as IOTL.

Comments?

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Hey Hnau, welcome back! (though the welcome is a bit late)

I'm seeing that from what you wrote in the scratchpad thread that:

While I am working on the actual timeline I'd like to get some ideas out there in the open and see if it is agreed that it's plausible. I'm sick and tired of putting together really good-looking installments for my timeline and then having it nitpicked to death so that I feel more and more pressure to start completely over. I'm hoping I can get the obvious nitpicking out of the way here on the "Scratchpad" before I put it together.

Having just read it, I'm sorry if this ends up being such a nitpick that you would rather have avoided, but you did ask for comments. So here goes:

Very nice revision of a Lenin-less World so far. Looks very interesting. The only bit I'm not so sure about though is the 1902 Presidential succession and election:

In February, newspaper magnate William Randolph Hearst began a campaign for a 1902 presidential election and called John Hay’s presidency “Undemocratic and Un-American” while nevertheless praising him for his ability as Secretary of State. President Hay had no intention to fight for his newfound position; indeed he had expressed his intention to leave politics since the year 1900. However, Senator Mark Hanna, who had emerged as the front-running leader of the Republican Party, dreaded the idea of giving the Democrats so soon another chance to challenge them for the presidency. The case was taken to the Supreme Court in March as Hearst vs. Hanna and in May the Supreme Court ruled that it was constitutionally necessary to hold a special presidential election that year and as such shift the presidential election cycle by two years.

Now maybe some lawyers on the site might be able to give a more accurate opinion on this, but I don't think that the Supreme Court would find it constitutionally necessary to hold a special presidential election that year. The only time any law was set permitting a special presidential election seems to have been in the 1792 Presidential Succession Act. That Act however was replaced by the 1886 Presidential Succession Act (the one in force at the time in 1902) and in that act it stated "That sections one hundred and forty-six, one hundred and forty-seven, one hundred and forty-eight, one hundred and forty-nine, and one hundred and fifty of the Revised Statutes are hereby repealed."

Now the Revised Statutes were the precursor to the United States and in the online scanned edition of the 1878 edition (the Second Edition) we can view sections 146, 147, 148, 149 and 150: http://memory.loc.gov/cgi-bin/ampage?collId=llsl&fileName=018/llsl018.db&recNum=95 and http://memory.loc.gov/cgi-bin/ampage?collId=llsl&fileName=018/llsl018.db&recNum=96

Those sections seem to have come from the 1792 Act and were the only provisions outlining the special presidential election. Since they were repealed I don't think the Supreme Court could find the need for a special presidential election.

That doesn't mean a special presidential election couldn't happen though. With John Hay as President and the poor man feeling like crap after losing four friends and being thrust into a the ultimate role in the profession (politics) from which he wished to retire 2 years ago, I'm sure he would be the chief advocate of Congress passing a new 1902 Presidential Succession Act which would reinstate the 1792 special election provisions removed in the 1886 Act. As a mere Act it would only need a majority to pass as it wasn't a constitutional amendment. As it turns out in January-February 1902 (before the next House of Representatives election due in November) the Republicans already enjoyed a majority in the House (of 200 seats out of 357) and enjoyed a majority in the Senate (55 seats out of 90 both before and after the 1902 Senate elections in which Senators were elected by State governments as this was before the 17th amendment). In the 1902 House elections of OTL the Republicans would retain their majority with 207 seats out of 386 in total. So the Republicans could pass such an Act if Hay wanted and if they thought they were going to win in a special election anyway.

Far from dreading "the idea of giving the Democrats so soon another chance to challenge them for the presidency", the Republicans would probably have been okay with calling a special election. After all anarchists just killed two Republican presidents in a row (yeah I know it was only one anarchist and the other was a journalist, but I doubt they would make that distinction in the campaigning). The party (or at least some in the party) might figure on winning the sympathy vote (especially since the South was Democratic anyway it wouldn't matter to them that Cannon had upset the South as the double assassinations should in theory allow them to squeeze more votes out of the sympathetic states which would have viewed the "Alabaman Assassin" (or "Alambamian Assassin") negatively anyway). Getting emotions stirred up should in theory mean an easy campaign, plus it would give everybody what they want - Hay gets retire, William Randolph Hearst gets his democracy (as do other persons who may have considered or called a Hay presidency "undemocratic"), the Republicans get to campaign on the sympathy vote and they get an extra 2 years in the White House courtesy of the special election. Both the presidential election and House election could even be held in November 1902 just as the presidential and House elections were held in November 1900 (on the same day in fact, November 6).

Bryan could still become President since Hanna would not be as well known and you may have some Republican-leaning voters who just stayed home or independents who were swayed by Bryan over Hanna. One also can't discount the Democrats milking Cannon's words to full effect for those independents or even Republican-leaning voters who did not sympathize with civil rights for blacks. These changes too would likely also affect the 1902 House elections. We might see the Republicans lose the majority to the Democrats (or if you want to make it interesting having them evenly split with independents holding the remaining few seats).

EDIT: You could also make the change the race by having Hanna win Ohio and still have Bryan win (maybe have him win Illinois instead). Surprise victories in Indiana, Illinois and Oregon should be surprise enough (Indiana and Illinois had voted for a Democratic candidate (Cleveland) in 1892 but tended to vote Republican in the most recent presidential elections from the 1880 to 1900).
 
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Hnau

Banned
Hey Chris S! No, I definitely want criticism, but I was thinking of using the scratchpad thread to publicize ideas sooner than the actual installments, so that I can fix any inaccuracies and mistakes early on. Not sure if I should do it though as I got 0 replies to that thread. You are definitely right on those legal matters... hmmm... it looks more plausible that legally Congress would have to pass a law rather than the Supreme Court make a decision on the constitutionality... my bad, I should have researched presidential succession a little better. Making the edit now. Thanks for catching that so soon, Chris!

EDIT: Change made! The new text reads as follows:

Nearly immediately talk had begun of calling a special presidential election that November. While the 1882 Presidential Succession Act put to bed the calling of a special election in the event that both President and Vice President are unable to fulfill a term, many questioned why an unelected official like John Hay should be placed at the head of the country for the next three years. In February, newspaper magnate William Randolph Hearst began a campaign for a 1902 presidential election and called John Hay’s presidency “Undemocratic and Un-American” while nevertheless praising him for his ability as Secretary of State. President Hay had no intention to fight for his newfound position; indeed he had expressed his intention to leave politics since the year 1900. Later on he would actively support the idea of leaving the presidency to another if such an action was made legal in Congress. Senator Mark Hanna had emerged as the front-running leader of the Republican Party and though no enemy of Hay he desired a better man at the helm of the country, say, himself. It was a poor move to make in hindsight. The Republican-dominated Congress was able to pass in the spring months a 1902 Presidential Succession Act that re-established the special presidential election that had been removed from the 1882 act. A presidential election was to be held in November of that year and as such shift the presidential election cycle by two years.

In the future I'll have to use the Scratchpad thread a bit more to avoid these kinds of things. Actually, if this sequence of events seems too implausible, it's not too late to go back an replace a Bryan presidency with a Hay presidency. It doesn't remove too much of what I've already written, I'll just have to head in a bit of a different direction. What do you think readers?
 
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Nearly immediately talk had begun of calling a special presidential election that November. While the 1882 Presidential Succession Act put to bed the calling of a special election in the event that both President and Vice President are unable to fulfill a term, many questioned why an unelected official like John Hay should be placed at the head of the country for the next three years. In February, newspaper magnate William Randolph Hearst began a campaign for a 1902 presidential election and called John Hay’s presidency “Undemocratic and Un-American” while nevertheless praising him for his ability as Secretary of State. President Hay had no intention to fight for his newfound position; indeed he had expressed his intention to leave politics since the year 1900. Later on he would actively support the idea of leaving the presidency to another if such an action was made legal in Congress. Senator Mark Hanna had emerged as the front-running leader of the Republican Party and though no enemy of Hay he desired a better man at the helm of the country, say, himself. It was a poor move to make in hindsight. The Republican-dominated Congress was able to pass in the spring months a 1902 Presidential Succession Act that re-established the special presidential election that had been removed from the 1882 act. A presidential election was to be held in November of that year and as such shift the presidential election cycle by two years.

Cool, but it's the 1886 Presidential Succession Act, not 1882.
 
In the future I'll have to use the Scratchpad thread a bit more to avoid these kinds of things. Actually, if this sequence of events seems too implausible, it's not too....

You could use this thread like the scratchpad though. There is a forum for finished timelines without discussions in them: The Finished Timelines and Scenarios thread. You could just post the completed sections in there and have the discussion here, so folks can read the TL in full there. Can't remember if we had that forum before you left for Brazil though.
 

Hnau

Banned
Chris S said:
Cool, but it's the 1886 Presidential Succession Act, not 1882.

Whoops, typo, that's fixed now.

Chris S said:
You could use this thread like the scratchpad though. There is a forum for finished timelines without discussions in them: The Finished Timelines and Scenarios thread. You could just post the completed sections in there and have the discussion here, so folks can read the TL in full there. Can't remember if we had that forum before you left for Brazil though.

Yeah, I guess... no, they did have it before I left... but then you look at some really great timelines such as LoRaG or Laughter & Tears and you realize that the spectacle doesn't come from the Finished Timelines forum it comes from right here. Jared and Faeelin and Hendryk seem to write and formulate their timelines so flawlessly the first time through, you don't see them making drastic rewrite or getting caught in errors. I guess it doesn't matter how many history books I check out from the library it seems like I just can't get it down perfect in the first post... I guess I shouldn't be that agitated about it, there's plenty of great alternate history writers here that do many rewrites and revisions, I mean look at Archangel or Cuauhtemoc they are fantastic TL writers yet do numerous revisions. Maybe I'm just being hard on myself.
 

Hnau

Banned
Balloon #2

This is a retcon of the previous update, see my explanation below.

--

Section Three: The Fall of McKinley and Cannon, the Rise of Hay and Roosevelt

PL6528.jpg

President William McKinley's Funeral Service, 1901

Theodore Roosevelt was working in the United States Department of the Navy as Assistant Secretary in the year 1898 when the Spanish-American War failed to begin. In our sister timeline he did not suddenly rise as a national hero. He continued in his position as Assistant Secretary of the Navy for four more years than he did in our timeline. With Roosevelt in the Naval Department, President McKinley had no easy answer to who would replace the late Vice President Garret Hobart who died from heart failure in 1899 (in both timelines). As in our world, he favored the selection of the “father of the Senate” William B. Allison but the Senator declined. Joseph G. Cannon was eventually chosen as a trustworthy representative of the “Old Guard” Republicans, a good man to complete the ticket. What President McKinley did not know was that he had chosen his presidential successor.

Leon Frank Czolgosz had in both timelines a similar life. He was an unemployed Polish-American factory worker who became obsessed with the anarchist movement in the late 1890s. Already a distraught individual, having been bullied throughout his childhood and constantly at odds with his family, he decided to assassinate President McKinley after reading of the successful assassination of King Umberto I of Italy by fellow anarchist Gaetano Bresci. In September of 1901, having bought a revolver, he moved to Washington D.C., renting a room in a low-class apartment. He began stalking President McKinley, attending every public event he could and learning his weekly routine. Finally, on October 11, Leon approached the President on the street as he was entering a carriage and shot him point blank four times. [1] President William McKinley would not live to see the next day. As in our timeline, Leon Czolgosz was eventually tried and executed to the dismay of the anarchist community. Unlike in our world, in Pershing’s World Joseph G. Cannon was the man that succeeded to the presidency.

“Uncle Joe” Cannon’s presidency was eventful, but short-lived. As in our home timeline, Booker T. Washington, the most important black leader of the era, became the first African American to be invited to dinner on November 6, 1901 at the White House. There he discussed politics and racism with President Cannon. White outcry especially in the Southern states was very strong. In an interview six days later Cannon refused to ameliorate the situation and pugnaciously threatened his naysayers. He is quoted as having said: “Being invested by the Constitution of this great nation with all Presidential powers and responsibilities, I promise to do all I can to obstruct those that would rather return to those oppressive institutions that have been removed through four years of fraternal bloodshed. We, as a people, have already won that battle, and whoever wants to return to it I shall consider an enemy of the state. The time has come for a leader to right the wrongs that have been wrought in many states of the Union to deny the Negro his rights and freedoms that were attained for him a generation ago.” This caused further outrage in the South to the point that three federal buildings were bombed in Alabama and South Carolina.

On December 5, President Joseph Cannon delivered a 15,000-word address to Congress asking its assistance in curbing African-American segregation and disfranchisement that was sweeping the South. Cannon had found a crusade and the newspapers lambasted him and his efforts continuously. Hostility grew quickly in the South during the winter months. On January 12 a protest march on the United States Capitol in Washington D.C. was organized by Southern right’s activists, mimicking the march by Coxey’s Army in 1894. Nearly 8,000 supporters showed up for the event and attracted national attention. The Cannon administration, unwilling to back down, organized a press conference on the 14th of January where President Cannon denied that he would change his position on the racial civil rights issues. After speaking for twenty minutes, young Alabaman reporter Timothy Scott pulled out a gun that he had carefully concealed in a briefcase and fired two shots before he was detained. One of the bullets struck the newest American President on the side of his the face. President Joseph G. Cannon succumbed to his wounds two days later. Timothy Scott would follow the path of Leon Czolgosz to execution by electric chair. [2]

After two assassinations in the last four months, the United States of America was left in complete shock. This would be come to be known as the "Massacre of the Presidents" in American history. On January 17th, twelve hours after the death of Joseph G. Cannon, the current Secretary of State John Hay took the oath of office and was sworn in to the office of President. Hay began his presidency with a bout of intense melancholy brought on by the deaths of four close friends of his in the last four months: William McKinley, John Nicolay, Clarence King, and now Joseph Cannon. He would report: “I wonder how much grief I can endure. It seems to me that I am full to the brim. Yet I feel no disgust of life itself, only regret that so little is left and so narrow a field of work remaining.”

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President John Hay, 1902-1905

One development interesting to allohistorical research is that the talented Assistant Secretary of the Navy, Theodore Roosevelt, a dear friend of John Hay, was requested to replace John Hay as Secretary of State, an offer that he eagerly accepted. The friendship the two great men cultivated in Lied’s World from 1902-1904 was had likewise in Pershing’s World, the only change was that their roles in the White House had been reversed. As such, in matters of foreign relations, the United States in the two worlds followed a similar course until 1905. Roosevelt exerted considerable influence on President Hay in this regard. The Venezuelan crisis of 1902-1903 lasted a month longer, but a resolution to the dispute was still negotiated successfully and through Roosevelt as State of Secretary, the Roosevelt Corollary was still introduced. The Alaskan boundary dispute, posturing in the Far East, and the development of a legal foundation for the creation of the Panama Canal were all handled nearly identically in the two worlds. It also placed Theodore Roosevelt on track to becoming the Republican presidential candidate in 1904 and thus prepared him for his own presidency that would last from 1905-1913.

What differs from the presidencies of Hay and Roosevelt from 1902-1905 is the lack of enthusiasm for domestic issues. President Hay continued McKinley’s lackluster trust-busting, at the very least, but on matters of railroad regulation and conservation few effective actions were made. These issues would be strongly championed by Roosevelt during his own presidency. By 1904 it became very apparent that President Hay’s health was failing him, as such he declined running for nomination as the Republican candidate in that year’s presidential election. John Hay passed away on March 29, 1905, only two weeks following the formal accession of Theodore Roosevelt to the presidency.

[1] In Pershing's World the Pan-American Exposition was not delayed due to the Spanish-American War and was held in 1899 at Cayuga Island with much less spectacle compared to our timeline. As such, Czolgosz had to find a different time and location for his plans.

[2] Full credit goes to the poster Abe Lincoln for this idea which he wrote here.

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I didn't feel good forcing a Bryan presidency when so much was against it. Gotta keep this timeline plausible! Maybe some of the ideas I had with that can be implemented in an alternate, more radical Roosevelt presidency. A Hay presidency followed by a Roosevelt presidency will also allow me to keep the focus on the early part of this timeline on Russia. Hope you guys don't mind!
 
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