Just as a FYI, people voted to see a Germany win, the next is a Germany loses.
There is victory and "victory".Just as a FYI, people voted to see a Germany win, the next is a Germany loses.
@caleum, how does 6 million dollars in Marshal Plan funding and the lack of German prospect to sell weapons IOTL in the 1940s help Germany more than foregoing 23 billion in material reparations and the ability to sell weapons, which by 1945 IOTL was what most of German industry was geared for at that point?
Why on earth would Stalin invade Manchuko? He was pretty adamant OTL about only helping with Japan AFTER German surrender. This isnt rolling sixes, its cheating with a D20 dice.Losses from Operation Downfall were equivalent to the numbers that were estimated. About a quarter million casualties were suffered and experts believed that the Japanese home islands themselves would hold off until at least the summer, with probably another million casualties. After the defeat in France, plus the large amount of casualties in both Europe and Japan, it was hard to sell to the public that defeating the Axis was some matter of existential importance. With Democrats fearing a Republican landslide 1946, Truman was pushed to start making peace. Little did they know that if they literally sat and waited, Japan and Germany would starve by the summer.
The decision was made to drop an atomic bomb a month (which is roughly the rate they were produced) on Japan’s port cities in order to prevent food from reaching the home islands from Korea, Manchuko, and mainland China. Some sort of peace would be made with the Germans and Italians.
The peace posed to Italy was that Sardinia and Sicily would be returned in exchange for an independent Yugoslavia (though Italy would retain their direct occupation zones in these lands). Italy would be returned their African colonies, but they would have to allow for an independent Greece and Dodecanese. French acquisitions would have to be surrendered and trivial reparations paid to them. Essentially, Italy lost hundreds of thousands of men and billions of lire for some trivial acquisitions in the Balkans. Mussolini, seeing this as an allowance of Italy to sit at the table in the post-world order accepted the deal. By Christmas, Italy was out of the war.
Germany was offered another Versailles deal, something the conservatives in the military refused even at this late a date. A sort of insanity had taken over German thinking. The kinks would be worked out of their electric U-Boats. The newest ME-262 was actually reliable and would turn the tide in the skies. The relentless bombing campaigns were already decreasing thanks to the Wasserfall and new anti-aircraft shells (though B17s and B29s with jamming devices were beginning to hamper the Germans). V1-F2s would drop higher chemical payloads. The TA-183 would be unmatched in the skies. Romanian oil imports and synthetic fuel facilities in Silesia were increasing and would improve the agricultural as well as the military situation. The Allies did not have the heart to fight the quagmire in Japan for long.
New developments emboldened the Germans. In a sudden, unanticipated move, the Soviets unleashed an offensive not into Germany or Poland, but against Manchuria. The Soviets had amassed 1.2 million men. Manchuko had about 700,000 defenders. It was the winter and progress was slow, but steady. By March, Soviet forces have reached Korea and Japanese resistance was weak. The Soviets experienced about 100,000 casualties, the Japanese about twice as much, as they withdrew under the onslaught to Korea.
Many in the West were shocked by this dastardly move and wanted to cut off lend lease entirely. However, if this were done, chances were the Soviets would never cede Manchuria to China. So, the threat was made that this would be done. Stalin called off plans, that were never serious, to invade Korea. Lend lease continued to Russia.
With Italy leaving the war, Germany was able to begin importing more through Italy, who was returned their merchant marine. Germany had largely ran out of capital, and so they licensed advanced weapons technology to Italy including proximity fuses for antiaircraft guns, the ME-262, and the Tiger tanks. These weapons were chosen specifically because of both their advanced nature but also defensive utility. They would have little offensive value through the Alps. The Germans were aware that Italy would likewise sell intact versions of all of these to the Allies, but this made little difference as they had already captured all of these.
Through Italian imports, Germany barely avoided complete and utter starvation. The average German lived under a constant barrage of chemical warfare and they were running out of unskilled slave labor to starve to death (as the skilled labor was barely at subsistence level). In retrospect, if the Allies had not dropped atomic weapons, terror bombed Germany, and gassed its people, starvation would have forced a peace as it had in WW1. However, due to the justified feeling that the Wallies were intent from erasing them from existence, the average German was determined to fight on. It was that or the death of everyone they held dear.
The Germans had some of most cutting edge weapons by the end of the war and they lost because they couldn't replace their losses both in trained personnel and barely replacable equipements.
ITTL, Stalin cannot gain a ton of concessions in eastern Europe because ukraine and the balkans do not fall into his hands. And so, Romania and Bulgaria don't switch sides. As a result, the USSR does not have the manpower to get the concessions they need in eastern Europe nor to the Wallies guarentee these. And so, the USSR takes something simply so they can get it.Why on earth would Stalin invade Manchuko? He was pretty adamant OTL about only helping with Japan AFTER German surrender. This isnt rolling sixes, its cheating with a D20 dice.
"West Berlin, Germany. Marshall Plan aid to Germany totaled $1,390,600 and enabled that country to rise from the ashes of defeat, as symbolized by this worker in West Berlin..." https://www.archives.gov/historical...totaled $1,390,600 and enabled that,1948 - ca.
That still overlooks his and all Soviets desire for revenge against the Germans. They were the main enemy, the Japanese were just a nuisance.ITTL, Stalin cannot gain a ton of concessions in eastern Europe because ukraine and the balkans do not fall into his hands. And so, Romania and Bulgaria don't switch sides. As a result, the USSR does not have the manpower to get the concessions they need in eastern Europe nor to the Wallies guarentee these. And so, the USSR takes something simply so they can get it.
Not that Wiki is the best source (it estimates closer to 1.5 billion in aid), but it also speaks of the German economy being hamstrung, limited in its steel production by 25 percent for a few years, then increased to fifty percent. Additionally, most of the 1.5 billion was in loans, the 1.4 million was the "free" money Germany was given.
In any event, all of this is less than 23 billion in reparations and the capability to produce and sell at full capacity right after the peace. As for those complaining about the US surrender during that Battle of the Bulge, Patton does not break through the the Allies do not have a sufficient airfield to bring in enough supplies to feed 200K men.
Here is a non Wikipedia source for the 1.4 billions Marshall plan for Germany.Not that Wiki is the best source (it estimates closer to 1.5 billion in aid), but it also speaks of the German economy being hamstrung, limited in its steel production by 25 percent for a few years, then increased to fifty percent. Additionally, most of the 1.5 billion was in loans, the 1.4 million was the "free" money Germany was given.
In any event, all of this is less than 23 billion in reparations and the capability to produce and sell at full capacity right after the peace. As for those complaining about the US surrender during that Battle of the Bulge, Patton does not break through the the Allies do not have a sufficient airfield to bring in enough supplies to feed 200K men.
the ability to do 100 percent of your steel production, let alone sell weaponry (which was most German industry in 1945 IOTL) is more than 1.4 billion dollars in 1948-50.the 23 billion were payed in decades while the Marshall plan was an immediate shoot to the economy; much of the reparations where in machine and industry and a lot of them were already destroyed ITTL and while the Allies can't feed 200K men...neither the nazi can.
actually, Constantinople lifted their anathema before Vatican II (Patriarch Athenagoras actually claimed not to be in schism, but he was a nut). ITTL, the Facist bloc simply bullies the churches at their disposal (which happened IOTL, just like the forced conversion of Uniates to Orthodoxy in Ukraine in the 1940s). Constantinople IOTL, if invited to, would have went into union with Rome because this is what Athenagoras actually wanted. To push a fascist-puppeted Greece, and Grecophile Alexandria to do the same is not actually difficult. The rest of the Orthodox Churches will not, which is why they do not ITTL.The catholic and greek churches were at anathema until 1992 . Them getting together in thec60s? Mindboggling.
the ability to do 100 percent of your steel production, let alone sell weaponry (which was most German industry in 1945 IOTL) is more than 1.4 billion dollars in 1948-50.
actually, Constantinople lifted their anathema before Vatican II (Patriarch Athenagoras actually claimed not to be in schism, but he was a nut). ITTL, the Facist bloc simply bullies the churches at their disposal (which happened IOTL, just like the forced conversion of Uniates to Orthodoxy in Ukraine in the 1940s). Constantinople IOTL, if invited to, would have went into union with Rome because this is what Athenagoras actually wanted. To push a fascist-puppeted Greece, and Grecophile Alexandria to do the same is not actually difficult. The rest of the Orthodox Churches will not, which is why they do not ITTL.